If you aren’t familiar with Dr. John Lott, you need to be. He is without a doubt the leading academic mind on the planet when it comes to studying positive outcomes of firearm ownership.
He also consistently debunks the worst of liberal narratives. His expertise and hard work have been cited on countless publications and broadcasts — even liberal outlets like the Washington Post have used his quotes and research.
We highly recommend you follow his work and learn the truth about a number of gun-control arguments. As an introduction, we’re going to cover his latest work involving the Black Lives Matter Narrative.
By the Numbers
The study is dense and expansive. It looks at police killings from virtually every angle. As a result, a few numbers really pop. The first we noticed is a rise in killings of police officers. Since 2015, felonious killings of police soared across the country by about 61 percent.
To make a connection, Black Lives Matters began their large efforts in 2014. Now, this does not mean that BLM is fully responsible for the deaths of police. But it does show how dangerous narratives can embolden criminals. Such was clearly the case when the Dallas killings happened in 2016.
A few other numbers also pop. The first is that this study has roughly twice as much data as any comparable effort. That makes it a lot more reliable. One such number is that the number of civilians killed by police is up sharply since 2014. This contradicts claims by the FBI. It’s also worth noting that almost 100 percent of that increase has been from deaths of white suspects.
Conversely, the rate of black deaths at the hands of police only rose by 0.2 percent. Hispanic deaths were similarly unchanged. The white death rate grew by 60 percent. That already throws a huge wrench in BLM’s claims.
The One Thing the Left Got Correct
On the right, we believe in logic and reasoning. As such, we have to acknowledge when the left is correct about something. In this case, it has to do with proportional population statistics. That’s a mouthful, but basically the left and BLM claim that compared to the ratio of blacks in the population, they make up a disproportionately large number of the people shot by police.
This is true and has been for as long as records have been kept. Numerically, black Americans make up 12 percent of the total population. They account for 24 percent of those killed by police. That’s the premise of the BLM argument. Where they go wrong is in assuming that these numbers can only be produced by deliberate, malicious, systemic racism.
Debunking Claims of Racism
Now, racism is a plausible cause of disproportionate black deaths if you only look at those two numbers. When you dig deeply like this study did, you find that racism can’t possibly be the reason.
The first approach to understanding this comes from looking at how police behave differently according to their own race. If civilian killings were racially motivated, you would assume that white officers are less likely to kill white people, black officers are less likely to kill black civilians and so on. This simply isn’t the case. No matter how the study split groups by race, it found that civilian shooting statistics were the same.
In reality, the primary cause of racial disparity in police killings comes from crime rates. To put it simply, you’re going to see a stronger police presence in areas with the highest crimes. As everyone in the country already knows, black Americans disproportionately live in high-crime areas. That means they are interacting with police more than other groups, and those interactions are more likely to involve a response to a crime.
When you control for these factors, you find that the entire difference in blacks shot by police is a result of blacks being around more crime. This is why the black-on-black crime argument is important. If you are more likely to be involved in a violent crime, you are more likely to be involved in a violent police response to that crime.
So, what can we learn from all of this math and analysis?
First, the left is as wrong as they always are. They’re exploiting a dangerous situation for a specific group of Americans in order to tug at heart strings and vie for votes.
Instead, an honest assessment of the situation could actually save lives. It is incumbent on leaders within black communities to push for less black-on-black crime. That’s one of the key ways to de-escalate rising tensions between police and rough neighborhoods, and it would undoubtedly reverse the recent trends we’re seeing.
But, a message of personal accountability is abhorrent to the left, so they could never embrace such a radical idea.
~ American Gun News